Section A·Page 7
The University Daily Kansan
Monday, January 24, 2000
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Nation
Candidates set to battle in Iowa
Gore, Bush top polls as hopefuls head into contest
DES MOINES, Iowa — On the eve of Iowa's caucuses, Republican and Democratic presidential candidates canvassed churches and national talk shows yesterday, scouring this snow-crusted state for last-minute support even as they began looking ahead to contests in New Hampshire and beyond.
The Associated Press
"This is the first step in several
journey."
said Bill Bradley, the former New Jersey senator who trails V i c e President Al Gore in Democratic polls.
Entering the first election contest of Campaign 2000, Rep. George W.
Bush: Spent yesterday campaigning in Iowa for today's caucus
Bush and Gore held wide leads in polls of voters who planned to visit schools, civic clubs, fire stations and other sites today to support one of eight major contestants.
The underdog candidates, all resigned to losing, were shooting for face-saving finishes and Iowa's true reward: momentum for New Hampshire's Feb. 1 primary.
"This is a marathon, not a sprint," said Rep. Steve Forbes on NBC's Meet the Press.
The footrace in iowa, a test of political organization, favors the national front-runners. A Des Moines Sunday Register poll of 1,200 likely caucus-goers showed
Gore leading Bradley among Democrats 56 percent to 28 percent. Bush led Forbes 43 percent to 20 percent in the Jan. 16-21 survey, which had an error margin of plus or minus four percentage points.
Bradley is in danger of finishing worse than expected in a contest that traditionally punishes candidates who fail to meet expectations.
With the rest of the GOP field in single digits, Forbes has long said he was the conservative alternative to Bush. The argument would carry greater weight if, after pouring millions of dollars into Iowa since his failed 1996 bid, Forbes fares better than the new poll sug-
gestes — 23
points behind
Bush.
The polls show that about one in 10 voters are undecided, which gave the candidates incentive to campaign hard yesterday.
Gore: Recent polls suggest that he has a slight lead in the democratic race
folks to get out and vote. We need as big a vote as possible." Bush told reporters between campaign stops.
Maintaining a caucus tradition, several campaigns had supporters papering churches and their parking lots with leaflets. Religious conservatives represent a third of likely caucus voters and are more likely than most voters to attend the sessions.
Though Forbes is expected to get a lion's share of the conservative vote, former ambassador Alan Keyes, Washington activist Gary Bauer and Sen. Orrin Hatch of Utah are carving up the religious base. Keyes, Bauer and Hatch
2000
likely are competing for third place; finishing lower could doom their candidacies.
Race for President
Public polls suggest that Gore has opened a slight lead against Bradley in New Hampshire, though the vice president's own polls still show the race in a statistical dead heat. Bradley aides also consider the race tied. On the Republican side, McCain is maintaining a lead in the high single digits against the governor, although Bush has an edge in at least one poll.
A CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll yesterday on the New Hampshire contest had Sen. John McCain ahead of Bush, 42 percent to 33 percent, among likely Republican primary voters, with an error margin of plus or minus 5 percentage points. On the Democratic side, Gore had a lead ahead of Bradley, 52 percent to 43 percent, with an error margin of plus or minus four percentage points.
In Iowa, Forbes courted social conservatives by questioning Bush's commitment to abortion and tax cuts.
"Candidates at this time of the year—the conservative establishment in the Republican Party—always say 'Oh, we are conservative' and then after the election, they forget about it." Forbes said. Bradley urged supporters to vote.
"We could surprise a few people," he said at Cornell College in Mount Vernon.
Voters sized up the field for the last time.
Mark Steenhoek, 32, said he was leaning toward Keyes.
"It's more of him being such an underdog and trying so hard and keeping at it that makes me like him so much," he said.
When: 7 p.m., today.
IOWA CAUCUSES
Where: The Democratic and Republican parties each will hold precinct meetings at more than 2,100 locations across the state, including school classrooms and meeting rooms in libraries, fire stations and other community buildings. A few meetings will be in church basements, banks, grain coops, even living rooms of private homes in the absence of available space in community buildings.
Who: Registered voters who are party members, as well as party members who are 17 years old but will have turned 18 by the November election.
Format: Democrats will elect delegates to county conventions reflecting their candidate preferences, discuss platform issues, elect leadership for the precinct.
Republicans will elect leadership for the precinct, hold a straw poll for president, elect delegates to county conventions, consider platform issues.
Results: The Republican Party of Iowa will use an automated telephone call-in system to tabulate votes, reporting the results from its hub of operations at the Knapp Center at Drake University in Des Moines, Iowa.
Democratic caucus leaders will tabulate support for candidates as a percentage of the whole, phoning in results to the Iowa Democratic Party tabulation center at the Hotel Fort Des Moines in downtown Des Moines.
The Associated Press
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