PAGE 2B THURSDAY, APRIL 3, 2014 QUOTE OF THE DAY "Baseball is like church. Many attend, few understand." THE UNIVERSITY DAILY KANSAN Leo Durocher ESPN FACT OF THE DAY The first team to play baseball under modern rules were the New York Knickerbockers, founded on September 23, 1845. TRIVIA OF THE DAY Q: Pundits have been forecasting baseball since when? A: Since 1929, when the New York Times predicted the Yankees and Giants. ESPN.COM — USA Today THE MORNING BREW Bold predictions for the 2014-15 MLB season As you may well know from experience, a Major League Baseball season is a lot of things. It is exciting, frustrating, tiring, and humbling. One thing it is not, however, is simple. So much of the game of baseball is subject to chance. Line smashes are sometimes caught, bloopers sometimes have "eyes" and fall in between three converging fielders — it's called the game of inches for a reason. Predicting baseball is like flipping a weighted coin in the air 162 times and calling it in the air correctly each time. It just will not happen that way. Not to mention, this theoretical coin is only weighted 60-40, or at most 70-30. One team is usually only marginally better than the other, and the difference doesn't become noticeable until the law of large numbers comes into play, and the results grade out closer to the expected value as they regress to the mean. I'm in no way claiming to be able to predict 162 of these coin flips, much less one coin flip. 2014 MLB PREDICTIONS — PLAYOFF TEAMS DENOTED WITH * 1. LOS ANGELES DODGERS* They hit better than you, pitch better than you, and look good doing it. Chance for 100 wins this season. 2.OAKLAND A'S* High on-base percentage and slugging percentage win games. The A's do both well. 3. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS* One of the most enviable baseball franchises. New faces, same expectations. 4. BOSTON RED SOX* This team will be good for a long time to come. Xander Bogaerts should be fun to watch develop. 5. TAMPA BAY RAYS* They don't allow runs, and Wil Myers likes to score them. Watch out. 6. WASHINGTON NATIONALS* This team is young and stacked from top to bottom. Hopefully not too young. 7. DETROIT TIGERS* The Tigers are one Miguel Cabrera better than the Royals. Which is kind of a big deal. 8. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS* They are spending a lot of money to catch the Dodgers. They may fall short of that goal, but a playoff appearance looks to be in store. With the best defense and bullpen in baseball and a respectable starting staff, the offense can be the difference between another average season, and KC's first playoff berth since 1985. 9. KANSAS CITY ROYALS* The heart of this line-up is terrifying, and the starting rotation is star-stocked. 10. TEXAS RANGERS 11. ATLANTA BRAVES* Freddie Freeman and newly acquired Ervin Santana will be leading the 12. CINEMATIC REPS This team has the talent to win it all, but consistency has been a pretty serious issue. charge for the Braves. 12. CINCINNATI REDS 13. SAN DIEGO PADRES Much like the Royals, the Padres' offense will be the only thing that holds this team back. 14. NEW YORK YANKEES The Pinstripes return to their ways of buying wins, but this team is old, the parts are depreciating. 15. PITTSBURGH PIRATES The bottom of the order has its issues, but the rest of this squad is above-average. 16. CLEVELAND INDIANS After a busy offseason, the 'Mariners look to Robinson Cano to lead them back to their winning ways. 19. LOS ANGELES ANGELS Manager Terry Francona got the most out of his team last year,but the Indians will fall back down to reality in 2014. It will be tough to expect Chris Davis to replicate 2013, but Nelson Cruz will give the Orioles some much needed protection. 17. SEATTLE MARINERS 18. BALTIMORE ORIOLES They have sure spent the money; now it needs to translate to wins. 20. MILWAUKEE BREWERS Matt Garza needs to have a good year, and the offense needs to support Ryan Braun. Additions of Curtis Granderson and Bartolo Colon could make things 21. NEW YORK METS anew. more interesting at Citi Field. Citi Field. 22. ARIZONA DIAMOND-BACKS Mark Trumbo gives the Diamondbacks a big bat in the heart of the lineup. 23 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES Old and injury-prone, the Phillies will likely trade away talent this summer to start 24. TORONTO BLUE JAYS This team will, yet again, have trouble competing in the toughest division in baseball. 25. COLORADO ROCKIES The starting rotation is improved, but the bullpen will hold them back. 26. CHICAGO WHITE SOX The White Sox fail to reach base on a consistent basis. That's kind of important in baseball. 27. HOUSTON ASTROS Jose Altuve, Chris Carter and newcomer Dexter Fowler should lead the Astros to an improved 2014 season. 28. FLORIDA MARLINS Jose Fernandez has one of the "livest" arms in the game, but the Marlins got older over the offseason with their acquisitions. It's a one-man band. 29. MINNESOTA TWINS 30. CHICAGO CUBS Joe Mauer is the only reason to pay attention to the Twins this year. The highlight of the offseason was adding Kansas City backup 2B Emilio Bonifacio. If you live in Chicago, root for the Sox, although they won't be much better. Edited by Blair Sheade This week in athletics Thursday No events Friday Baseball Kansas State 6:30 p.m. Manhattan Saturday Women's golf SMU All day Dallas Sunday Baseball Kansas State 2 p.m. Manhattan Monday No events Softball UMKC 5 p.m. Kansas City, Mo. Tuesday Baseball lowa 3 p.m. lowa City, lowa Wednesday 785-864-4358 HAWKCHALK.COM Chainsaw Carver needs summer help. Prefer sculptor student. Call or text 913-680-5599. D caregiver needed to assist female wheelchair user. Flex. hrs. 10/hr. anistra@yahoo.com for details. Secure Your Summer job now! 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