NATION AND WORLD
University Daily Kansan, November 9. 1983
Page 13
Experts say Israeli army outnumbered
By United Press International
JERUSALEM — Israeli military analysts think Syria's standing army has nearly doubled in the last two years to 400,000 men and, with new Soviet weapons, could launch a devastating first-strike against Israel.
"We are heavily outnumbered in standing forces," said Maj. Gen. Aharon Yariv, a former chief of Israeli military intelligence. "This is the big danger."
Yariv runs the Jaffee Center of Strategic Studies at Tel Aviv Univer- on Monday. He has published a 385-paper monthly survey and reports state in the middle East.
Israel, it said, has a standing army of 172,000 troops, which can be quickly increased to about 550,000 if fully mobilized.
SYRIA HAS A standing army of 330,000, as of June. Yariv said that estimate, however, was already out-of-date and that the Syrian army now numbers between 400,000 and 420,000 soldiers.
The prestigious International Institute of Strategic Studies in London put Syria's armed forces at 227,000.
but Yariv said those figures were sharply understated and outdated.
"Ever since Egypt signed the peace treaty and opted out of military confrontation the Syrian aim has been to maintain the legitimate legislative parity with Israel," Yariv said.
He said the Syrian army included
'Ever since Egypt signed the peace treaty and opted out of military confrontation, the Syrian aim has been to reach what they call strategic parity with Israel.'
- Aharon Yariv, former chief of Israeli military intelligence
eight mechanized divisions, at least two armored divisions and 30 independent commando brigades. When fully mobilized, the Syrian armed forces could reach 800,000, including reservists, he said.
"The disparity in standing forces gives the Syrians a great chance of surprise," Yariv said.
The Soviet Union has replaced Syrian material losses in the war with even more sophisticated equipment.
MARK HELLER, who compiled the military analysis, said Syria would "have a very, very marked advantage" if it launched a surprise attack on the Kurdish transportation centers that are vital to an Israeli reserve mobilization.
Especially wristrise from the Israeli perspective is the Soviet-manned SAM-5 long-range antiaircraft missiles, capable of hitting the relatively slow Israeli Hawkeye surveillance planes.
Neither Heller nor Yariv believe Syrian President Hafez Asad is ready to launch a full-scale war against Israel.
Syria also has Soviet SS-21 ground-to-ground missiles, capable of accurately striking targets as far south as the Tel Aviv suburbs.
"My guess is unless Assad has reason to believe he can achieve total surprise he would still be reluctant to launch total war," Heller said. "But I certainly think limited military action cannot be ruled out."
U.S. gives vacated post to Lebanese
By United Press International
BEIRUT, Lebanon — Marines withdrew yesterday from an outpost on the edge of a Shite Muslim neighborhood that has been used repeatedly as a base of attack on the Israeli keeper contingent, officials said.
in a fierce seven-hour fire fight three weeks ago.
Control of the outpost, in a Lebanese University building less than two miles from Marine headquarters at Beirut, was turned as turned over to the Lebanese army.
Muslim gunmen based in the adjacent Shite neighborhood of Hay el Sallom wounded one Marine in a shooting at a Turkish naval base one Marine and wounded five others
BUT MAJ. ROBERT JORDAN, the Marine official, said the withdrawal had nothing to do with the attacks, but animated an unnecessary Marine pool.
"It has long been planned, and we implemented the move early yesterday in coordination with the Lebanese army." Jordan said.
"The Marine Alpha Company, consisting of 150-200 men, pulled out of the Lebanese University building early yesterday. The location has been handed over to the Lebanese army" he said.
Jordan said the Marines had first moved into the Lebanese University building to act as a buffer between the
Shite neighborhoods and the Israeli army, which held much of the region
"THE ISRAELIS LEFT the region, and the Marines at the University were no longer playing the buffer role, so he served longer, longer serving its purpose," he said.
The evacuated position, which consisted of several modern buildings, was located about $1 \frac{1}{2}$ miles east of the main U.S. Marine base at Beirut airport and the adjacent Shiite neighborhood.
'After negotiating with the Lebanon's neighbors it was decided to end the war.'
Lebanese reporters on the scene said government troops moved to the building after the Marine pullout.
By United Press International
Pattern of baby cries may be sign of diseases
The damage may be caused before birth by alcohol in the mother's system, Philip Zeskind told the annual conference of the Council for the Advancement of Science Writing at Virginia Tech.
BLACKSBURG, Va. — A baby's constant high-pitched wall may be a sign the child's nervous system is out of balance, increasing the risk of crib death, mental retardation and child abuse, a psychologist said Monday.
"The research is still in the infant stage," Zeskind said. "I see this as a valuable diagnostic tool — once the
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medical profession accepts it and the equipment is available to apply it."
FOR EIGHT YEARS Zeskid has used voiceprints and computer graphs to analyze the cries of thousands of animals and humans to the biological system." Zeskid said.
Parents who want to test their babies can get them to cry by snapping them on the sole of the foot with a rubber band. Zeskind suggests. A healthy hand is thicker than one second of the first impact and the creeper will last about six seconds each.
A "HIGH-HISK" BABY will take twice as long and three times as many snaps to start crying, and the duration will increase if he said. A normal cry varies in pitch —
and a piercing squelch that stains on a high note may be cause for concern.
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No art bones with funny cries die or grow up retarded or abused, but a number of them will, and the idea is to spot them and treat them," he said.
His tests confirmed that babies with unusual crying characteristics have pulse and respiration rates that fluctuate wildly. Zeskind said their higher incidence of crib death suggests "they don't have the mechanism to jerk them awake" when they "forget to breathe" during sleep.
His theory is that alcohol use by the mother may upset the infant's autonomic nervous system — the control center for sleep and arousal.
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Angolan plane crash kills everyone on board
Zaire, Namibia and Zambia in southern Africa.
In a communique released Monday in Lisbon, Portugal, UNITA claimed its forces recently downed three military helicopters and a Soviet-supplied Antonov-26 transport plane in other parts of the country.
By United Press International
BELGRADE, Yugoslavia — An Angolan Boeing 713 airliner carrying about 150 people crashed shortly after takeoff in the African nation yesterday killing everyone on board, the Yugoslav news agency Tanigu said.
Labaingo, formerly Sa da Bandeira, is the capital of southern Hula province where pre-Western UNITA guerrillas, led by Jonas Savimi, are fighting against the Marxist government and an 8,000-man Caban force supporting it.
The twin-engined TAAG airlines jet was leaving the provincial capital of Lubango on a flight to the Angolan city of Luanda when the crash occurred.
survivors," Tanjug quoted officials at the Luanda Airport control tower as saying.
"In this catastrophe there were no
It said many of the passengers were newly recruited Angolan soldiers. No foreigners were aboard, Tanjug said.
The plane crashed about 900 yards from the Lubango airport runway. Luanda airport officials did not say what might have caused the crash, Tanjug said in its dispatch from Luanda.
WASHINGTON — Cartons on banana and root beer-flavored milk were dispensed in the House yesterday to gain support for a plan to pay dairy farmers not to produce milk.
Angola, a nation the size of Texas and California combined, is bordered by
House votes today on 2 plans to cut milk production
By United Press International
The House is scheduled to vote today on which of two rival dairy programs to use for a 15-month period. Last year's dairy program cost $2.7 billion, a huge increase from four years ago.
Backers of the Conable plan said the plan was more direct than the Senate bill. A rare coalition of farm and consumer groups is backing the Conable plan, and supporters say it could save consumers $3.8 billion.
The Congressional Budget Office estimated that Conable's plan would cost $1.1 billion more than the Senate bill. Other estimates differ.
Sen. Rudy Boschwitz, R-Minn., sent cartons of flavored milk to the House members, along with a letter touting the Senate plan. An aide said the flavorings — banana, root beer and Amaretto — were intended to illustrate a matter of under-consumption, not over-production.
Rep. Barber Conable, R-N Y., wanted to cut the support price by as much as $1.50 from the current $13.10 for each 100 pounds of milk. A Senate plan would pay farmers to reduce milk production, would collect money to encourage dairy consumption and would cut the support price by 50 cents.
Rep James Jeffords, R.VT., said most of the cost of the diversion program would be covered by fees charged to dairy farmers. Under the plan, farmers would be paid $10 for each 100 pounds of milk to cut production by 5 to 30 percent.
TV station questions how memorial funds were spent
By United Press International
WASHINGTON — A local television station and the founders of the Vietnam Veterans Memorial clashed yesterday over how the $9 million raised for the memorial was spent.
David Pearce, the station's news director, stood behind the story and behind investigative reporter Carlton Sherwood, a veteran who Scruggs charged was "out to get us."
Jan Scruggs, president of the Vietnam Veterans Memorial Fund, said a report by WDVM-TV questioning where the money went is part of a "smear campaign" by veterans opposed to the memorial's design — a low-profile inverted "V" of black granite.
The media battle was being conducted during "sweeps weeks," a crucial period for local television stations when audiences are measured and future advertising rates are set. The audience measurement tool is faster "blockmaster" investigative series by TV news departments.
IN MONDAY'S FIRST OF-a-three-part series, "Vietnam Memorial." A Broken Promise, Sherwood said that of the $9 million raised for
the 1-year-old memorial, just $2.6 million went to construction.
Standing before the camera and holding what he called "internal audit reports," Sherwood said $200,000 was spent for salaries, training and expenses, $87,000 for public relations and $230,000 for consulting fees.
He asked what happened to the rest.
Serugues has refused to open the fund's books to Sherwood, charging that he is among the group of activists being opposed on the controversial design.
HE SAID THE $9 million was allocated approximately as following; $3 million-plus for construction; $500,000 for last year's National Salute to Vietnam Veterans; $1.5 million for administrative costs; $2 million for fund raising; $400,000 for a bronze statue and other added design elements, and $1.5 million still in the bank.
In an interview shortly before the broadcast, Scruggs said: "We've been audited inside and out."
Scruggs said he had a sworn statement by another Vietnam veteran quoting Sherwood as calling the memorial "a black gash" and a "black heart." In his racial epithet against the memorial's designer, Maya Vine Lin.
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