Nation/World
University Daily Kansan / Wednesday, September 20, 1989
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Hugo's future puzzles forecasters
The Associated Press
MIAMI — Forecasters consulted computers, satellites and yellowing hurricane charts yesterday in a frantic effort to plot the course of Hurricane Hugo, which might hit the United States this weekend.
Then again, it might not.
"When you look out two to three days in the future, that's when we have our most difficult problems," said Bob Sheets, director of the National Hurricane Center in suburban Coral Gables. "We have a lot of different things going on."
Forecasters said U.S. residents
from the Florida Keys to North Carolina should watch Hugo's uncertain path carefully. The hurricane, leaving devastation behind in the Caribbean, was moving past the Bahamas and could reach Florida by Friday, forecasters said.
They added, however, that it could also miss the United States entirely.
A variety of weather factors, some as far away as Canada and the Rocky Mountains, could determine Hugo's course. But the most likely impact will come from the combination of a low-pressure system moving west across southern Georgia and a broad high-pressure ridge, the "Bermuda
High," to Hugo's north.
The high-pressure system probably will block Hugo from spinning harmlessly out into the Atlantic as Hurricane Gabrielle did last week, forecasters said, while the low-pressure system could lure Hugo westward.
Forecasters said the varying factors also would affect the storm's wind direction, slowly rebuilding yesterday after filling from 140 mph winds to 105 mph.
Forecasters watched data spit out of advanced computers, studied satellite maps and reconnaissance photos flown back on Air Force
hurricane-hunter" planes
"We were just looking through a bunch of the old charts." Sheets said. "They've done everything. They've done loopio-loops, they've gone into south Florida, they've gone into central Florida, all the way up to the Carolinas."
So far, Hugo has moved from the eastern Caribbean across Puerto Rico, then away from Hispaniola and was headed slightly east of the Bahamas.
The best advice forecasters could offer, Sheets said, was for coastal residents across the southeastern United States to be ready.
FAA official calls DC-10 a safe jetliner
The Associated Press
WASHINGTON — The nation's top aviation official and the head of the board investigating the DC-10 crash in Iowa both told Congress yesterday that existing jetliners are safe.
James B. Busey, head of the Federal Aviation Administration, ordered an inspection of the fan disks of 220 DC-10 engines. The engines are similar to the one investigators think failed in the July 19 crash of a United Airlines DC-10 in Sioux City, Iowa, that killed 112 people.
James Kolstad, chairman of the National Transportation Safety Board, said DC-10s and other wide-body airliners were among the safest airplanes in history based on their operating records.
Busey, Kolstad and McDonnell Douglas Vice President Dale Warren appeared at a Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation subcommittee hearing about the safety of the
DC-10. Subcommittee Chairman Sen. Wendell H. Ford, D-Ky., said the hearing was called to get reassurance that the government was adequately policing safety of the DC-10.
"At the outset I believe it is important that I assure you and the public that the FAA considers the DC-10 to be a safe aircraft." Busey said, adding that there was no reason to ground the airliner.
Busey said that although investigators had not determined what caused the explosive engine failure in the Iowa crash, one possible scenario was the development of a crack in the engine fan disk "as the result of an internal flaw in the disk material itself."
Busey said engineers had been working since the crash of Flight 232 to determine how a flaw, found in six engines built of the same material, might have developed in the plane's tail engine.
DC-10 disappears en route to Paris
The Associated Press
PARIS — A DC-10 passenger aircraft on a flight from the Congo to Paris with 170 people on board disappeared yesterday soon after taking off from a stopover in Chad, the French airline UTA said.
The airline, also known as Union Transports Ariens, said there was no indication of the plane's fate more than five hours after contact was lost.
The last radio contact between the plane and air traffic controllers occurred 40 to 50 minutes after leaving the airport at N'Djamena, Chad. The pilot indicated everything was normal, the airline said.
UTA reported there was no
nothing too bad, the ankle said.
unusual weather in the area. It did not say what search measures were being taken.
The French navy dispatched a Dasault-Breugiet Atlantique patrol aircraft from Dakar, Senegal, to join the search, the Defense Ministry said.
UTA said it believed the search extended into neighboring Niger, along the path the plane would have taken, and could involve military forces from Chad, Niger and France, which has a small force in Chad.
The aircraft, purchased by UTA in 1973, has logged 60,000 hours in the air. There were no indications of mechanical failure before the plane left Chad, the airline said.
Inflation rate good U.S. analysts agree
Consumer prices remain unchanged
The Associated Press
WASHINGTON — Consumer prices did not increase at all last month as big declines in the cost of gasoline and women's clothing combined to provide the best news on inflation since early 1986, the government said yesterday.
The August performance of the Labor Department's Consumer Price Index followed modest increases of 0.2 percent in both June and July and left analysts marveling at the better-than-expected showing on inflation.
"The August inflation result was outstanding from the point of view of the consumer," said Allen Sinai, chief economist of the Boston Co. "The bread-and-butter categories of food, housing, transportation and clothing showed either big declines or very small increases."
The modest price increases starting in June represented a sharp contrast from the first part of the year when surges in energy and food costs pushed inflation up to a disturbing annual rate of 6.7 percent.
With the string of good reports, consumer prices are now rising at an annual rate of 4.8 percent, up only slightly from the 4.4 percent increases registered in both 1987 and 1988.
In another economic report yesterday, the government said that construction of new homes and apartments dropped by 5 percent in August.
Economists blamed increases in mortgage rates during August for the setback. They said that the improved
Consumer prices
Percent change in Consumer Price
Index for all urban consumers, adjusted
for seasonal variations.
-0.2% S O N D J F M A M J J A
Monthly change (adjusted)
Aug. 1989 July 1989
Food +0.2% +0.2%
Housing +0.2% +0.2%
Medical care +0.7% +0.7%
Appeal -1.5% -0.8%
Insurance coverage
outlook for inflation should help push mortgage rates down .
SOURCE: Bureau of Labor Statistics
The Bush administration is predicting a 5 percent inflation rate for this year, a view supported by many private economists, who believe that recent increases in crude oil prices will translate into slightly higher monthly inflation numbers for the remainder of the year.
"We think that inflation is probably going to move up a little bit, but we are not looking for anything like the surge we had at the beginning of 1969," said David Berson, chief economist of the Federal National Mortgage Corp.
"They are wanted for violating laws against conspiring, teaching and enlisting civilians in military operations without the approval of
ISRAELIS ACCUSED IN DRUG WAR: Colombia has issued arrest warrants for two Israelis accused of training hit squads for the drug cartels waging war on the government, an official said yesterday.
World briefs
Acting on a request by the Department of Administrative Security, Colombia's equivalent of the FBI, a judge issued the warrants Monday for a former Israeli army colonel, Yair Klein, and businessman Arik Acke.
the Defense Ministry," said security department spokesman Divas Rojas.
Klein was the subject of a police investigation in Israel along with five other Israeli suspects of training gunmen for Columbian drug lords. The investigation was completed Sept. 8, but police have not disclosed their findings. Klein has yet to be charged.
Klein, now home in Tel Aviv, has said he trained Colombian farmers to protect themselves against leftist guerrillas. He said he was unaware they had any involvement with drugs.
AUTO EMISSIONS: The Bush
The modification, criticized by environmental groups, would still allow motor vehicle manufacturers to meet stricter anti-pollution requirements by averaging pollution among engine families.
administration proposed a modification yesterday in the most controversial portion of its clean-air bill, a provision permitting averaging of auto emissions to meet anti-pollution requirements.
But it would make clear that reductions under averaging must equal the improvement that would be achieved if each car were forced to meet the emissions standards. Current law requires each
vehicle to meet the standards.
Meet the standard us.
The proposal was part of an amendment package introduced, with the administration's blessing, by the two chief sponsors of the legislation: House Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman John D. Dingell, D-Mich., and the ranking Republican on the panel, Rep. Norman F. Lent, R.N.Y.
Environmental groups and their House supporters said they still wanted averaging stripped from the bill, contending it would increase pollution from autos, the major cause of urban smog.
EAST GERMANS CALL FOR DEMOCRACY: The widely publicized flood of East German refugees to the West has u敏纾ged the fledgling pro-democracy movement they left behind, giving it a newboldness to challenge East Germany's hard-line government.
Just two weeks after its creation, a dissident group called Neues Forum says its numbers have swelled from 30 founders to more than 1,500 supporters nationwide.
Neues Forum says it has also received inquiries from a number of communityist. Party members and years ago it the government to legalize it.
"For too long, people have only
dared to express their hopes in places like bars, where it's safe. It's time we start talking about these things out in the open," said 27-year-old Klaus, a group member who asked that his last name not be used because of possible police reprisals.
Erich Honecker's hard-line Communist government stunnily rejects the kinds of reforms under German reunification, Bundet Union, Hungary and Poland.
Neues Forum, which means New Forum, is demanding that East Germany's rulers heed the call for reforms and that the group be legalized by the government.
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