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UNIVERSITY
The University Daily KANSAN, Page 21
Enrollment Boom Is Abating
Good, Evil Seen in End Of Growth
By ELAINE ZIMMERMAN
A reduced enrollment in the next few years will be either the greatest good or the greatest evil to come to hold on. I will sit on those whose argument you follow.
Projections Say Crowds on Campus Will Thin
Arguments both ways, at any rate, have increased attention at the University at the United States elsewhere as the tremendous growth in college enrollments has started to
Kansan Photo
Projections indicate that enrollments in higher education will start a long decline in the late 1970s. Because funding tradition has been so strong, some predict that the quality of higher education will begin a parallel decline. But others say the end of expansion will allow for consolidation and improvement.
The decline came home to KU when enrollment increased by only 28 students between fall 1971 and fall 1972.
This development followed a national trend, however. The Carnegie Commission on Higher Education predicted that this would happen.
In 1971, enrollments still were increasing at four-year institutions but the rate of growth was slowing. In 2004, the percentage time freshmen actually declined.
The Carnegie Commission in 1971
CARNEGIE PROJECTIONS
projected national college enrollment through the year 2000. Between 1970 and 1980, the commission predicted, enrolment would increase 50.5 per cent. In the following 10 years, enrolment would decline 2.8 per cent, then would rise by 30.9 per cent between 1990 and 2000.
In September, the predictions were revised and estimates lowered. The commission predicted a rise of 32.3 per cent between 1970 and 1880, a rise of 26.1 per cent between 1980 and 1990 and an increase of 25.1 per cent between 1990 and 2000.
For Kanaas, the trend is expected to be the same. The State Education Council will meet at the six state schools and Washburn University would peak in
The education commission projection missed KU's 1973 enrollment by only four students. KU, which now enrolls 18,633, is expected to have 19,100 students next fall, 19,732 in 1977 and 19,740 in 1978.
The declining birth rate is a principal cause of the predicted drop in enrollment. Other reasons for the decline, according to Kenneth E. Anderson, professor of education, who made the projections for the Education Commission, hang upon a changing attitude about education.
Many parents don't like what they see on the campuses, and it is considered proper to not enter college buildings or school or to go to a preparatory school.
Chancellor Emeritus Raymond Nichols says there is more emphasis
on career education and more questioning of the value of education because of graduates' difficulties in finding jobs.
Nichols says the cost of college influences students to attend junior colleges rather than four-year institutions.
Not only colleges but also high schools will feel the impact of the decline in the birth rate. Anderson University's Planning Commission that predicted the number of high school seniors in Kansas would peak in 1976-77, one year before the peak in university and college enrollment.
Some public school administrators say that the decline in enrollment won't cause a decline in the quality of education because operating costs are figured in state aid and propensities to compensate for decreases in funding.
Others disagree, however. They say that declining enrollment will reduce funding enough to force curtailment in programs. Those cutbacks are most likely to affect undergraduate students who attract college-bound students.
Changes in the number and kinds of students are likely to affect KU in other ways.
A KU steering committee is studying KU and its future, and Jerry Hutchison, assistant vice chancel-
for academic affairs and the committee's chairman, says that the wealth of the state probably will increase without a commensurate growth in population. This may make more money for fewer students.
"Of course, what we're assuming
is that more money means better education, and that may be a myth," Hutchison savs.
He says there have been break-throughs in instructional techniques that probably will increase the efficiencies of students and gate the effects of reduced funding.
The declining high school graduating classes in Kansas will be important to KU, Hutchison says, because the college base here is predominantly Kanan.
The University must expect infusion, H屯hison sision and, changing emphases in federal funding. Because of a shift in federal pri-
orites, some programs will be reduced and others avoided, he says.
He notes that the shift in priorities makes management difficult. Professional people and technological workers can be night into something else," he says, even though classified employees, buildings and typewriters can be found.
The characteristics of students also are changing, he says. Older students are more likely to certain racial minority groups and women are making up a larger pro-
Closely related to the changing characteristics of students is the FTE (FTE) on which state funding is based. The FTE is obtained by dividing the total number of credit hours by 15, considered the average load.
As the number of part-time students increases, the FTE enrollment won't grow as fast as the head count enrollment. If this trend continues, the University may be teaching the number of students with less money.
Hutchison says that neither the legislators nor the schools are happy with the TCE statewide committee is developing a proposal for a more sensitive form-
See GOOD, EVIL Next Page
Trend Affects High Schools
By ELAINE ZIMMERMAN
High schools, like colleges, must cope with smaller enrollments, but because the enrollment decline is only now being felt in the junior highs, just how it will affect the quality of education is uncertain.
Because state aid depends on enrollments, some administrators say they are better off at a lower quality of instruction will suffer. Others, however, foresee no reduction in enrollment.
Kenneth E. Anderson, professor of education at the University of Kansas, predicted 12th grade enrollments in county and for each county and school district.
Unified School Districts No. 501
He made the predictions in four successive years by using the number of students in grades one to 12 to obtain survival ratios and project number of high school seniors. Senior enrollment will peak in 1976-77.
Less reliable projections, made beyond 1983-84 by using the birth rate, indicate that the number of infants born is slightly around 1987 and then decline.
Enrollment and state aid are tied because a certain sum is furnished for each student in the school district. The new school finance law, which attempts to make school budgets for pupil more equal, allows districts to raise their budgets no more than 5 per cent. Districts with less-than-average expenditures may raise them as much as 15 per cent.
and No. 259, in the metropolitan region of Topeka and Wichita, are expected to lose students by 1880-81. The number of students are expected to have increases.
Thus, school districts allowed a 15-per-cent increase wouldn't feel the pinch of enrollment declines as it could get a larger increase in state aid. The Salina school district, which has had low expenditures in the past, is now in better financial terms its superintendent, Lloyd Schurr.
Dale Dennis, director of school finance and statistics for the state department of education, says the need to prevent enrollment declines from diminishing the quality of high schools. Operating costs are considered when computing budgets, he said. "When the number of students drops,
Districts that lose state aid can partly compensate by raising property taxes, he says, and because many citizens got tax relief this year they will be more willing to vote for taxes now.
In addition, Dennis says, consolidating school districts can enable programs to be retained when enrollment drops.
Jim Connett, a social studies teacher at Wichita High School
See TREND Next Page
But Kissinger promised to stand by the allies despite the disagreements and proposed the development of a unified energy program to tackle an oil shortage he said would have developed even without the October war.
He defended U.S. support or Israel during the Middle East war, telling the North Atlantic Treaty Organization council that "the United States should be Europe's interest as the United States.
THE SPEECH WAS KISSNER's first to the council, which is holding a two-day year-end meeting. It was paraphrased for newsmen by U.S. officials who said the secretary emphasized that the alliance cornerstone of American foreign policy.
At one point, Foreign Minister Michel Jobert of France and Kissinger had a sharp exchange over the issue of consultation. Jobbert said Europe should have been advised before President Nixon and Soviet Communist party leader Leonid Breshnev worked out their declaration last June on the prevention of nuclear war.
act in union as well as with other countries if peace is threatened.
First, Kissinger listed a growing Soviet military force which he said was the primary reason for the search for detente. He also said upheaval in developing nations a number of economic problems have given greater urgency than differences across the Atlantic.
Kissinger attempted in his speech, however, to heal the wounds that deepened when most of the allies separated them during the war. The stance during the war, and its aftermath.
INFORMED DIPLOMATES reported that Kissinger disavowed any intention to keep Britain and France out of the Middle East peacemaking process. But they also said he told the NATO ministers both inside and outside the conference room that British representatives would complicate the peace talks due to begin in Geneva Dec. 18.
He said differences between the United States and Europe pale in comparison with those in China.
Syria until it turns over POW list.
Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Dayan told the Israeli parliament that the refusal to deal with Syria at the Dec. 18, Genesea peace negotiations was a
Israel says Syria has refused to turn over names of the 102 Israeli POWs believed in Syria, and the International Red Cross has confirmed the
An Israeli refusal to negotiate with Syria would be a serious blow to chances for the success of the negotiations.
Congressional tax experts received the first documents of Nixon's tax returns.
The material Nixon released in disclosing his tax affairs confirmed that he paid about $80,000 in federal income taxes over the past four years and no state income taxes. He asked the Joint Committee on Internal Revenue Taxation to review the returns.
Gas retailers want Phase 4 controls lifted so prices can rise $1^{c}$ to $3^{c}$ a gallon.
"We are fighting for our survival," said Charles Binsted, president of the National Congress of Petroleum Retailers during a convention. He made his comment at the same time an industry publication told of rising gasoline prices.
KU 'Preachers'
Put Faith
In Bible
sday, December 11, 1973
See Story Page 3
Nixon Tapesutor Disclosed
o鼻航ator E. Howard Hunt and soo said it would be no problem million to buy the silence of the iel Watergate defendants.
fited that the March 22 meeting
union of Watergate and the
tergate committee hearings
o open seven weeks later.
old newsmen Monday that perts were taking a cscond look of a June 20, 1972, conversation e President and then-White of staff H. R. Halademan in an sternime what caused an 18-
past two weeks, Sirca heard what might have caused the une 20 tape which was one of naimed.
**GINICAL EXPERTS** had tape at a laboratory in New and returned it to the judge a during the weekend they asked; Sirica said, adding he hopes to port by the end of the week.
into evidence at the court a letter Jaworski wrote Nov. Fred Buzhard, White House
er, Jaworski asked for the June
The request for an injunction was made by Chester Davis, attorney for Summa Corp, a company controlled by billionaire Howard R. Hughes. The Senate committee has been taking testimony in closed sessions about a $100,000 cash contribution from Hughes to Charles G. "Bebe" Rebozo, the President's close friend.
Dean has testified that a plan to offer executive clemency to Hunt was discussed during those two days. In a related development yesterday, a federal judge refused to bar the Senate Watergate committee from questioning witnesses in closed sessions.
Rebaso and the President have said the money, held in a Florida bank for nearly $150 million, will be used.
BY SUZISMITH
KansasStaff Reporter
Tapes of telephone conversations on those two days between the President and Colonel Wheeler.
HE ALSO ASKED for the tape of a meeting between 5:16 p.m. and 5:50 p.m. on June 4 between the President and Charles Johnson, then White House special counsel
4 and tapes. He requested the tape of a meeting between 3:05 p.m. and 4:30 p.m. on June 3 involving the President, Haldeman Wilhelm Kirchman, then his domestic affairs adviser.
By SUZI SMITH
Kanman Staff Reporter
cking to Adjust culty Pay Increase
aid he couldn't say how much mnt increase might be adjusted lewed the budget.
-Gov. Robert Docking said last there would be "some adnade in the 5 per cent salary f faculty at state schools that mended at the state budget it month.
and that he was sun" "balancing"
is against his demand." There
was someone who had to make
s and learning, he said.
student representatives agreed
salary increases were the top
their schools.
net here last night with student minor class presidents from the leges and universities.
size that the money has limits. one priority has to be faculty
1 of Regents had requested a 10 increase for faculty of the *k* Kansas. James Bibb, budget director of the university, raised five per cent instead.
ze 'nar ut ne* honey also *nulls:* the university has priority to be faculty Joe Knope. Joe Knope is a professor at Wichita University, said迪, Wichita student and senior of KU, called current faculty KU a "morale depressant." nt representatives also stressed approval by the laureatage of a
$770,000 allocation to state tuition fee waivers at the state schools. The program would give KU and K-Sate each $100,000 and each $50,000 and each of the three colleges $90,000.
Seventy-five per cent of the funds would be used to pay athletic scholarships, and the remaining funds would go to music, debate and journalism programs.
Victor Miller, student body president at Kansas State Teachers College at Emporia, Missouri, and Richard Papporton to the colleges than to the universities. He said the colleges were being hit harder by decreasing enrollments and were increasingly difficult to fund their athletic programs.
He said that the only way to avoid dropping minor sports and to face the coming enrollment crisis at the colleges would be through the waiver program.
Buckley said that he and Pr. Neumstrom, Salina senior and senior class president, mentioned specifically to Docking faculty members to emphasize the names and women's intercollegiate athletics.
"The desire for these programs was
early made, and we said, "Now it lies in
the government."
Neustrom said he thought Docking was very receptive to the student representa-
"I really don't know how much consequence this dinner is going to have on his life."
age and price controls were lifted from industry but increases limited.
Cost of Living Council said it extracted a commitment from Ford Co. and General Motors Corp, to limit price increases for the order of the 1974 model year to an average of no more than $150 a.e. A commitment came from American Motors for an average in-
rster Corp, the council said, declined to make similar commitments,
c Council decided to exempt it from controls.
*department of Labor filed suit against milk educators alleging unfair labor practices.*
buffers alleging unfair doctored production
A spokesman for the Associated Mdl Protection
applesman for the Associated Milk Producers, Inc. had no immediate comment on the suit alleging that it violated the Fair Labor Standards Act. The Labor Department petition asserts that the association hasn't been paying overtime compensation to workers who have worked more than 40 hours weekly at branch plants in Rusk and Sulphur Springs, Tex., and Laurel, Neb.
Gov't, environmental group considering
- parate suits on Alaska pipeline monopoly. The government and the Sierra Club assert that the Alaska pipeline would be unconstitutional.
At least one suit could seek to halt pipeline construction, scheduled to be completed on completion of the line which will tap the rich oil fields of Alaska's North Strip.
Nixon formally submitted to the Senate
Saxbe's nomination to be attorney general.
Saybe's nomination to be attorney general.
Mike's nomination to ovatey general manager
Nikon picked sen. William E. Saxbe, R-Ohio, to be attorney general more than a month ago but had been unable to make the nomination because the attorney general's salary raised to $80,000 a year from $35,000 while
That constitutional obstacle was removed when Nixon signed into law a bill reducing the attorney general's salary to its previous level.