University Daily Kansan
Tuesday, October 6, 1976
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preferences was that they seemed to have made up their minds to support Ford before the first debate, Cigler said. He said that because 76.8 per cent of the independents hadn't changed their minds, the debate apparently made little difference to them.
Both Cigler and Donn Parson, professor of speech and drama, criticized the Kansas poll for not providing more information on the strong and weak support for each candidate. She said the poll didn't indicate whether a respondent's support was firm or wavering.
CIGLER SAID another interesting aspect of the poll was that more independent indicated that they didn't have a preference than indicated they favored Carter. On the other hand, 23.0 per cent of the independent vote and 28.0 per cent said they had no preference.
Parson said the poll corresponded with other recent polls he had seen and Cigler said the results, although surprising in some respects, appeared accurate.
THE BIGGEST surprise was that Ford
has to acquire a large margin over Carter,
Culver, supers.
"If someone had come up and asked me, 'I have said it was a toss-up on the campus within two or three percentage points,' he said. I would have thought that Gerald hadn't believed that he well. I for sure didn't expect there be almost a two-one-margin for Ford."
Both Cigler and Parson said they expected fewer people to watch the second and third debates than the number who watched the first debate. They have little actual effect on how people vote.
The Kansas survey also indicated that 19 per cent of student voters didn't know for whom they would vote. That is a high percentage this close to the election, Gliger said.
"THE EFFECT of the debate was to play a major role in confirming Ford's previous support," Cigler said. "Carter didn't lose support, but many people thought that Ford would get killed. The fact that he didn't made them think, 'Well, I guess he O.K.'."
The Kanas poll indicated that Carter gained about 15 per cent more support from those who said the debate changed their opinions of the election. Of the same group, Ford gained about 49 per cent and the remaining 36 per cent changed either to undecided, another candidate, or not to vote.
Cigler said, "The key fact among the important independent vote is that Ford did so well. He had a disproportionate lead among the independents and the debate apparently reaffirmed that Ford is moving the soft Carter votes."
MANY OF those who said they watched part of the debate, Gcier said, probably only glanced at it. Chances are, he said, that they watched the first part, during which Carter seemed nervous and Ford appeared to be in control.
"The debate was strong and confirming to Ford voters. Carter voters are more hesitant but they're not necessarily switch-ble," he said.
Cigler said voters seemed to be less sure of Carter following the debate. About 23 per cent of Carter's supporters said they were less sure about the way they felt about the election compared with about 10 per cent of Ford's supporter.
BECAUSE FORD has never run for national office and didn't rise through the ranks of the Republican party, and because Carter was virtually unknown nationally a year ago, two relative unknowns are running for president, Cigler said.
This may result in relatively "soft" support for both candidates, according to Cigler, who said 30 per cent of the electorate could change their minds before Nov. 2.
Another surprise in the Kansan poll, Cigler said, was that McCarthy received only 2.7 per cent of KU students' support. He said he expected more people to watch the debate, to be turned off by the two major candidates and turn to McCarthy.
Parson and Cigler said the traditional Republican strength in Kansas probably had an effect on the poll's result. In addition, Cigler said, the fact that Kansas Bob Dole was on the Republican ticket probably drew support to Ford.
Parson said a follow-up poll before the election would be more informative about what KU students think about the election. He said a later poll would indicate whether students' opinions are firm or subject to change.
AGEISM
KU-Y presents
Discrimination Because of Age: Too Old or Too Young?
Small group discussions on problems facing older people
Tuesday, October 5 in Kansas Union
1:30-3:30
Regional Room
2:4
Alcove A
3:5
Alcove B
7:00-9:00
Parior B
7:30-9:30
Cork II
8:10
Governor's Re
Donna
Schafer
Walter Crockett
Jodie Winchester
Shirley Patterson
Life Satisfaction
What happens
when you grow old
Death and dying:
Death of a spouse/parent
Governor's Room
Cal Broughton
Jodie Winchester
Susan Katz-Orloff
Panel on Youth Discussing problems facing today's youth
Agency aides
What happens when you grow old
Death and dying:
Death of a spouse/paren
7:30, Wednesday, Oct. 6
Parlor C, Kansas Union
Judy Sardo ... Employment Office
Donna Swail .Lawrence Public School
Colt Knutson ... Douglas County
Juvenile Court
Donna Flory ...Social Rehabilitation
Services
KU-Y is partially funded by Student Senate.
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