Panel predicts GOP victories
By CAROL DeBONIS
Victory for Ronald Reagan and Robert Docking and a Republican take-over of 30 House seats were predicted last night by members of the political science department in the Student Union Activities (SUA) pre-election panel.
John G. Grumm, associate professor of political science and former administrative assistant to Pat Brown, governor of California, discussed the gubernatorial races.
"IT LOOKS LIKE Brown isn't going to make it," said Grumm. "The Reagan forces seem to be winning."
Although Brown has won substantial victories after being an underdog twice before, "the odds are too much against him this time," he said.
The panel, sponsored by SUA's Current Events Forum, conducted its discussions in the Kansas Union.
Grumm attributed Reagan's edge to the white backlash element, a loss of momentum in Brown's legislative program and the more attractive public image which Reagan presents.
GRUMM SAID the Watts and Oakland riots have caused worry in California. Voters are going to carry their uncertainty about "open housing" to the polls.
According to Grumm, Brown has "sort of run out of gas. The original vitality of his administration has slowed down."
Reagan represents the new type politician, Grumm said. He presents an image of the smooth, strong and virile politician in contrast to what Grumm called the "bumbling image of Brown."
IN KANSAS, Grumm predicted that Docking would win. He based his opinion on the greater validity of the Democratic poll and the tax situation.
He said Avery came to power inheriting a bad tax situation. In the two former administrations taxes had been neglected. Avery saw the need for change and began gathering support for a new tax program.
If Avery has "shown himself politically adept in building support for his program," he nonetheless proved himself "inept in carrying it out," Grumm said. An income tax and an increased sales tax proved too much and left Kansas voters "reeling."
Earl A. Nehring, associate professor of political science and national fellow of the Republican national committee, presented prospects on the Congressional elections.
NEHRING BEGAN with an explanation of the climate of off-year elections, explaining that the out-party usually picks up considerable victories in this election. Averages based on voting results over the years indicate about a "25-seat take-over in the House and four in the Senate."
Effects of this tax burden should be important in determining a Docking victory in Kansas.
Nehring said predictions for the Republican vary this year. They will probably win about 30 seats in the House. In the Senate "it appears there will be a stand-off with no particular gains for either party."
THE INCOME TAX was not only untimely and excessive. It was unfair, Grumm said. Lower income brackets have the highest starting rates of any low group in the country. The result was a regressive tax structure.
Nehring cited inability to make effective use of the major issues, the Viet Nam war and inflation, as reasons for lack of substantial Republican gains in the Senate.
Both Nehring and Grumm expect the usual 50 per cent turnout. Republicans of some standing in Georgia, Alabama and Mississippi may challenge Democratic strongholds, making a slight increase in the national turnout.
HOLLYWOOD —(UPI)— Next on Tony Curtis' busy schedule is a starring role with Italy's Monica Vitti in "The Wrong Key" in Rome.
TONY'S NEXT
The growing pains of a great university will be discussed tonight at the Humanities Lecture at 8 p.m. in Swarthout Recital Hall in Murphy Hall.
KU history subject of lecture tonight 1
history, will speak on "The University of Kansas and the Years of Confusion, 1866-1966."
Daily Kansan Tuesday, November 8, 1966
Clifford Griffin, professor of
An informal reception will be held at the Faculty Club following the lecture.
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