6B
SPORTS / THURSDAY, APRIL 29, 2010 / THE UNIVERSITY DAILY KANSAN / KANSAN.COM
RESEARCH
Minnesota student connects basketball to traffic network
UWIRE
A graduate student in physics at the University of Minnesota recently had a research paper recognized at a Massachusetts Institute of Technology conference, and it had nothing to do with matter, forces or energy.
It was about the game of basketball and used theory rooted in the heart of physics to analyze the game in a truly unique way.
Brian Skinner, graduate student in the physics and astronomy departments, presented a research
paper last month at the 2010 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. The paper compared a basketball offense to a traffic network in a way that rethinks basic offensive strategy.
In the research paper, Skinner said the most talented offensive player benefits his or her team by shooting less, because concentrating the offensive production on one player lessens the offense's efficiency as a whole.
To make this point, Skinner looked at the phenomenon in traffic where jams occur because each
Skinner found that a similar phenomenon occurs in basketball when teams repeatedly run the play with the highest percentage of success by having the player with the best chance of scoring shoot the majority of the time.
vehicle is taking the path of its best interest.
For an example, Skinner looked at Boston Celtics shooting guard Ray Allen.
According to Skinner, Allen was the most effective when he took fewer shots. Using the theory, Allen's effectiveness reached its highest
"The result of limiting Allen's shots keeps the defense from focusing too intently on him, and it pays off." Skinner said.
Nash equilibrium shows that the more Allen shot the basketball, the more his effectiveness fell, until he was as effective as his less-talented teammates.
level when he took 20 percent of his team's shots.
"It is the job of the coach to prevent this from happening." Skinner said.
'Allen was the primary scorer, but he was also the second and
third option." Skinner said. "Over his career, he had a wide range of shot volume."
With the team's offense continuing to utilize Allen as their best scoring option, the team reaches the Nash equilibrium with Allen shooting 40 percent of his team's shots.
"IIf I had the same courage to take shots without regard, I think I would have been a more effective player and help the team more." Peterson said.
"Teams are crunching numbers and trying to quantify player effectiveness," Peterson said. "They try
to make players see the statistics are trying to make them become better."
Hollinger said one way Skinner's research could be used is the predictable behavior of teams late in the game.
Teams are very predictable about getting the shot to their best player, according to Hollinger.
KANSANCLASSIFIEDS
"Brian's paper does a great theoretical premise in that coaches are hurting themselves by doing that," Hollinger said.
Brent Renneke writes for the Minnesota Daily at the University of Minnesota
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