6 Monday, February 8, 1988 / University Daily Kansan Dukakis and Bush expect to lose in Iowa The Associated Press CONCORD, N.H. — Campaign workers for Democrat Michael Dukakis and Republican George Bush are concerned that the candidates' front-running status in New Hampshire could be affected by expected defeats in the Iowa caucuses today. With only eight days separating the Iowa precinct caucuses and the first national presidential primary on Feb. 16, the New Hampshire front-runners have the most to lose. Neither Bush nor Dukakis is heading the pack in Iowa. Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole of Kansas leads Bush in the Iowa polls, while Dukakis of Massachusetts is locked in a tight Democratic race in the Iowa samplings with Rep. Richard Gephardt of Missouri and Sen. Paul Simon of Illinois. Spokesmen for both the Dukakis and Bush campaigns readily admit they may lose tonight. Polls have consistently put Bush and Dukakis substantially ahead of their rivals in New Hampshire, and both candidates have large organizations in the state to match. in the wake of But with the feared impact of Iowa, neither has been taking anything for granted in New Hampshire. The latest Boston Globe survey in New Hampshire reported yesterday that 38 percent of 600 Democrats likely to vote said they favored Dukacs; 17 percent supported Simon; 11 percent were for Gary Hart; 9 percent supported Gephardt; 7 percent backed Jesse Jackson; and Tennessee Seen. Albert Gore and former Arizona Gov. Bruce Babbitt each received 6 percent. The remaining 6 percent of likely voters were undecided. The margin of error was 4 points. Not only have other polls this year given Jackson or Babbitt at least a claim on the No. 2 spot, they also have had the candidates behind Dukakis in almost every possible order. The situation among Republicans has been somewhat less confused. A poll by the Boston Sunday Globe suggested that Bush had the support of 39 percent of Republicans surveyed, followed by 19 percent for Dole; 17 percent for New York Rep. Jack Kemp; 8 percent for former Delaware Gov. Pete du Pont; 7 percent for Pat Robertson; 3 percent for former Secretary of State Alexander Haig and 7 percent undecided. Generally, Bush and Dole have been holding down the top two spots in the polls. But Kemp has been closing in on Dole in several of the surveys. Bush, Dole rhetoric cools before caucuses The Associated Press DES MOINES, Iowa — Vice President George Bush distanced himself yesterday from the charges that his campaign leveled at chief GOP presidential rival and Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole while candidates of both parties began cooling their rhetoric on the eve of Iowa's crucial precinct caucuses. The Democrats, with a tightly bunched group of front-runners, focused on attacking U.S. policy in Central America, with Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis suggesting he'd be willing to tolerate a Soviet client state in the region as long as it wasn't 'a platform for offensive military operations or the subversion of neighboring governments." Bush, appearing on ABC's "This Week with David Brinkley," offered to "totally apologize" to Dole's wife, Elizabeth, if a Bush campaign statement offended her, but declined to extend an apology to Dole. Bush was questioned about a statement issued by Iowa campaign manager George Wittgraf which attacked Dole for "mean-spiritedness" and raised questions about management of his wife's finances. Dole could not resist a shot at Bush on the Iran-contra arms deal. "I do think there's a feeling out there that somehow, obviously, Bush is more closely tied to that than any of the rest of us," Dole said The campaign flurry came as 11 of the 13 Republican and Democratic presidential candidates stumped across snowy Iowa, with only Tennessee Sen. Albert Gore Jr. and former Secretary of State Alexander Haig staving away. It came on the heels of a survey that showed Dole with a double-digit lead over Bush in a poll published by the Des Moines Register, and that indicated Missouri Rep. Richard Gephardt led Illinois Sen. Paul Simon and Dukakis among Democrats. The candidates planned an exhausting series of speeches as they tried to up backers to turn out in each of Iowa's 2,487 pretended today. Dole sweeps county caucuses in Kansas TOPEKA — Victories in crucial county presidential caucuses Saturday ensured that Sen. Bob Dole would capture all of his state's 34 delegates to the Republican National Convention. The Associated Press Supporters of Dole, the Senate Minority Leader, beat back challenges from supporters of former television evangelist Pat Robertson in populous Johnson and Sedgwick counties. In those caucuses, Dole won 328 delegates to congressional district and state caucuses. strength in New Hampshire and the South. But Bush could finish third in Iowa, a state where President Reagan's coattails are a leaden weight. The vice president's nightmare is a board of Pat Robertson supporters showing up at the caucasus and propelling their favorite to a first- or second- place finish behind Dole. Dole supporters now have control of all five of the state's district caucuses scheduled for Feb. 20 and the March 5 state convention. For state GOP officials, the results were good news. They had said they would support them although they had already given their support to Dole. Expectations for the Kansas senator are very high in Iowa, and the Bush campaign line is that unless Dole meets those expectations — a win of 10 points or better Dole has at least 295 of 373 delegates in the 1st District, which covers the western two-thirds of the state; all 227 in the 2nd in northeast Kansas; at least 191 of 199 in the 3rd in eastern Kansas, at least 234 of 240 in the 4th in south-central Kansas, and at least 216 of 246 in the 5th in southeast Kansas. - Bush will have won a victory of sorts. Bush has the same dream — an Iowa victory that could make him unbeatable, given his apparent New Hampshire on Feb. 16. The flip side would be a disappointing fourth place battle — perhaps even behind former Gov. Bruce Babbitt of Arizona — that would weaken Dukakis in New Hampshire. lowa's political landscape lowa's farms iowa's cities Continued from p.1 Iowa's industry Farm towns in southwest Iowa are struggling more than those in the flatter, more fertile north part of state. Urban centers are Des Moines and the "Quad Cities."Cedar Rapids is the heart of north-east Iowa, where farming and agriculture are both intensive. Cedar Rapids is a leading manufacturer of goods for export. Davenport has a huge warehouse that keeps it a heavy industry city. Demographic breakdown Demographic breakdown White 97% Black 1% Hispanic 1% Urban 59% Rural 41% Born in state 78% Foreign-born 2% Population and growth 1980 2,913,808 1986 (29th in U.S.) 2,851,000 1980-1986 (% change) -2% Voting age population Iowa Projected for Nov. 1988 18-24 yrs 13.7% 25-44 yrs 41.5% 45-64 yrs 24.7% 65 yrs + 20.1% Median age 41.6 yrs Race of voting age population Des Moines 191,033 Cedar Rapids 110,243 Davenport 103,264 Sioux City 82,003 Waterloo 75,985 PROGRAM Nov. 19, 1986 White | 97.6% Black | 1.6% Hispanic | .9% Other | .8% Size of major cities Casting votes for president White-collar workers ... 47% Blue-collar workers ... 30% Service workers ... 14% Median family income ..$20,052 College graduates ... 14% Avn teacher salary ..$21,700 Jobs and education 1980 (National avg.: 52.8%) ... 62.8% Reagan ... 51% Carter ... 39% Anderson ... 9% 1984 (National avg.: 53.1%) ... 62.8% Reagan ... 53% Mondale ... 46% SOURCE: Census Bureau and Politics in America, the 100th Congress Party affiliation (as of Aug. 1, 1987) Party affiliation (as of Aug. 1, 1987) Democrats 35% Republicans 31% Other 33% Knight-Ridder Graphic Boyd's Coins—Antiques Bracing Gold-Silver-Coins Class rings - Diamonds 731 New Hampshire Lawrence, KS 66044 842-8773 Enjoy smooth, creamy Frozen Yogurt --Freek Samples-- Louisiana Purchase Shopping Center OPEN 11 a.m.11 p.m. Daily Noon 11 a.m. Sundays 97% Fat Free! 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