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Wednesday, January 20, 1988 / University Daily Kansan
U.S. House seat may be shifted Kansas population decline could cause loss after 1990
By Kevin Dilmore Kansan staff writer
When the 435 votes are tallied in the U.S. House of Representatives after 1990, there is a good chance that one of those votes will no longer be from Kansas.
According to a study released by Election Data Services, a Washington, D.C., consultant, Kansas could lose one of its five seats in the House because of its declining population.
Every 10 years, congressional seats are reapportioned to reflect federal census findings. House seats are based on population, and shifts can mean the loss or addition of congressional seats. Kansas lost a House seat because of reapportionment in 1960.
Kim Brace, president of Election Data Services, said yesterday that the reapportionment findings were based on 1987 population estimates released by the Census Bureau last month.
"We took these estimates and ran them through the reapportionment formulas approved by Congress and came up with what seats would be affected by the changes," he said.
According to The Associated Press, the Census Bureau's 1987 population estimate for Kansas was 2.48 million, down 4.5 percent, or about 112,000 from 1980.
Brace said the census figures were only estimates and not projections
"We anticipate more changes before 1990, but if things are still fluid, we expect 13 seats to be shifted," he said.
Burdett Loomis, chairman of the political science department, said that if a shift occurred, state lawmakers would have the job of creating
new districts during the 1991 session.
new districts during the 1961 session. he changed "he" said
But Loomis said the 3rd District in northeast Kansas and the 4th District in south-central Kansas were the least likely to be affected.
"I see the state as having two population centers — Wichita and Johnson County — and those districts will probably be maintained," he said, "but the Wichita area may be extended farther east."
"And the 1st District is already 'The Congressional District That Ate Kansas' and can't be changed that much," Loomis said yesterday. The 1st District covers much of western Kansas.
Rep. Jim Slattery, D-Kan., said Rep. the seat would not be good for Kansas.
"Whenever you lose, in effect, 20 percent of your representation, you are going to have an adverse effect," he said yesterday.
"It means we could lose a seat on the Agriculture Committee, or the Energy and Commerce Committee, or the Budget Committee or the Foreign Affairs Committee," Slattery said. "And if we lose that seat, we lose the representation of Kansas interests."
Slattery said that losing a seat also would mean one less vote in the Electoral College, the body that is directly responsible for electing the president.
But Loomis said he didn't think one vote in the college would make much difference.
Loomis said the reapportionment also could force two incumbents to run against each other.
"How many presidents campaign in Kansas anyway?" he said.
PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti — Presidential candidate Leslie Manigat got it a strong lead over three rivals yesterday as the junta-run Electoral Council released its initial vote count from national elections.
Haiti releases election figures
The council said that of the 212,378 ballots counted, university professor Manigat had 11,579 votes compared to 4,811 for attorney Gregoire Eugene, 2,186 for agronomist Gerard Philippe-Auguste and 1,698 for sociologist Hubert DeRoncey. Six other candidates shared the remaining votes.
The Associated Press
An alliance of major opposition groups boycotted Sunday's election and urged other governments not to recognize the winner of the balloting, which they said was fraudulent.
The first vote count represented less than one percent of the electorate of 3 million, but given a turnout estimated by opposition leaders as low as 5 percent, it could represent a considerable fraction of the votes cast.
Greard Bretous, spokesman for the Electoral Council, handed out the data at 7:30 p.m., more than 48 hours after polls closed. The tabulations were from four of Haiti's nine geographical departments.
Bretous, refusing to estimate the voter turnout, said
the council would issue additional results today. Under the election law, the council is not required to issue complete results until Sunday.
Balloting was for a president and National Assembly to replace the junta, led by Lt. Gen. Henri Namphy, that has ruled since dictator Jean-Claude Duvalier fled to France on Feb. 7, 1986.
Leaders of the opposition Civil Society said in a statement read at a news conference: "We ask every country that respects the Haitian people and their own constitutions to denounce the masquerade of Jan. 17 and refuse to recognize the bogus government that will emerge."
In Washington, the State Department said: "It is not possible to portray Sunday's voting as fully free and open."
About 50 business, labor and religious groups belong to the alliance.
Department spokesman Charles Redman said the results were clouded by lack of a secret ballot and the absence of some candidates with popular followings. After voters marked ballots, election officials inspected them before they were put into the boxes.
Redman said suspension of more than $75 million in U.S. aid would continue but the United States expects to maintain relations with the next government.
Dole appears to dominate Kansas with Robertson as only challenger
The Associated Press
TOPEKA — State Republican Chairman Fred Logan predicts that Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole will claim all of Kansas' 34 national delegates, despite the fact that supporters of Pat Robertson have filled full slates of candidates for delegate spots in a dozen large counties.
Logan said that more than 2,200 Republicans had registered as committed to Dole and the Dole organization. He also declared delegate candidates in all 115 counties.
He said supporters of Robertson, the Virginia television evangelist and businessman, have filed complete or partial slates in about 50 counties.
am confident the Dole
Backers of Vice President George Bush, Jack Kemp and former Gov Pierre du Pont have only a handful of registrants apiece, having
1.
campaign is going to win all 34 delegates.
Fred Logan
State Republican Chairman
decided not to challenge Dole's favorite son status in Kansas.
Logan said the Robertson faction was vying for about 900 delegate spots and the full Robertson slates were filed in Sedgwick, Shawnee, Johnson, Saline, Riley, Douglas, Lyon, Barton, Seward, Ellis and Finney Counties.
Logan said the Robertson delegates were registered largely as uncommitted and it was difficult to pinpoint them. All Dole delegates are
Those who registered by midnight last Friday are eligible to vote at county caucuses Feb. 1-6 and bid for election as delegates to the GOP congressional district conventions held Feb. 20 and the state convention on March 5. The state's 34 delegates to the Republican National Convention held in New Orleans in August will be elected at the district and state meetings.
registered as committed to the state's senior senator.
The first step toward becoming a delegate was to register for the county and then allow county caucuses will elect 1,249 delegates to the county and state conventions.
Among the larger counties, Sedgwick, Johnson and Wyandotte have their meetings on Feb. 5. Shawnee, Douglas, Riley and Saline meet Feb
Hart and Bush lead in South, poll shows
The Associated Press
BOSTON, Mass. — A poll of voters in 13 Southern states, released yesterday, suggests that Gary Hart leads the Democratic pack, with Vice President George Bush holding a better than 2-1 lead over GOP rival Bob Dole.
The Gallup poll indicated that Hart had the support of 26 percent among Democrats; Jesse Jackson had 21 percent; Sen. Albert Gore of Tennessee, 17 percent; and Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis, 8 percent.
Missouri Rep. Richard Gephardt drew 6 percent, Illinois Sen. Paul Simon had 5 percent and former Arizona Gov. Bruce Babbit had 2 percent. Fourteen percent were undecided.
The Democratic poll had a margin of error of plus-or-minus five percent.
On the Republican side, Bush led with 54 percent, trailed by Dole with 25 percent; Pat Robertson with 3percent; Rep. Jack Kemp of New York with 5 percent; and Pete du Pont and Alexander Haig had 2 percent each. Five percent were undecided.
The Republican poll had margin
of 0.14 plus-or-minus six percent.
[#25] polls?
States covered by the poll included North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas, Virginia and South Carolina.
They are among the 20 states holding primaries or caucuses on March 8, dubbed Super Tuesday.
The poll of 1,201 voters was conducted Jan. 15-17 for the Boston Globe, WEEI radio and VCBV-TV. IT included 322 Republican voters and 370 Democrats.
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