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Wednesdav. July 18, 1990 / University Daily Kansan
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Keith Thorpe/KANSAN
Predicted earthquake rouses skepticism
By Deron Graul
Kansan staff writer
It will house the departments of mathematics and computer science and the Museum of Entomology.
A seismologist for the Kansas Geological Survey said yesterday that a New Mexico scientist's prediction that a large earthquake could hit Missouri and neighboring states in early December was unfounded.
The Associated Press reported Monday that after Browning's prediction became known in March, insurance sales were up in towns along the fault, a school district had tentatively cancelled classes and that two states' National Guards had scheduled drills that week.
Iden Browning, an inventor and climate consultant in Tijeran, N.M., predicted that a major earthquake was likely Dec. 2 or 3 along
Browning predicted the Oct. 17 earthquake in San Francisco seven days before it hit.
Missouri's New Madrid fault because of high sunspot and solar activity. Browning believes it could cause earthquakes that can stress on earthbound faults.
Wired in
Ed Tucker, an electrician with Huxtable and Associates, connects wiring in Snow Hall.
But Rick Miller, a seismologist for the Kansas Geological Survey, called the prediction black magic.
"To call yourself a scientist while predicting a quake like this is a contradiction in terms." Miller said.
However Miller said the New Madrid area in eastern Missouri was due for a big earthquake within the next 50 years.
The renovation of Snow Hall, built in 1929 and expanded in 1961, should be completed in October at a cost of about $3.8 million.
Jack Garris, an associate of Browning's, said yesterday that the earthquake was a possibility, not a certainty.
"Browning has only predicted that a quake will occur between 30 and 60
degrees north latitude, anywhere in the world." Garriss said. "That doesn't necessarily mean it will occur on the New Madrid fault, but the conditions are right for one to hit there."
The last earthquake to hit the New Madrid area was in 1895, but the big quake that people still talk about occurred in 1812.
That quake probably measured about eight on the Richter scale, Miller said.
The 1812 quake woke people up in Boston, rang church bells in Washington D.C. and made the roar run backwards for about a week.
"There probably would be some
If a quake were to hit in eastern Mi. souri, the effects in Kansas would be minimal, Miller said.
need for emergency services in Kansas City." he said.
He said the devastation and loss of life that occurred in the October 1989 San Francisco quake would not hapen here. Instead, he said there could be extensive damage to underground utilities such as pipelines and sewers.
Don Sprowl, assistant professor of geology, said it was not uncommon for earthquakes to hit Kansas.
He said a major fault was located between Lawrence and Salina but that it was fairly stable.
No one can predict an earthquake to the day. Sprowl said.
"They can be predicted within a week or two at best," he said.
Lawrence was my oty earthquakes measuring between two and three on the Richter scale in 1811 and 1902, but they did little damage.
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